What is Sahm Rule Indicator?

Real-time recession indicator

Data Source

FRED SAHMREALTIME - Monthly

Current

0.10% - No Recession Signal

• No Recession Signal
• Low Risk
• Watch
• Warning
• Recession Signal

Historical Data

View History →

Compare

• Sahm Rule Indicator vs Inflation Rate (CPI)
• Sahm Rule Indicator vs Unemployment Rate
• Sahm Rule Indicator vs Consumer Confidence
• Sahm Rule Indicator vs ISM Manufacturing PMI