Presidential Election Cycle
Market performance in election cycle years
-1.0%
▲ +0.00%
Average Year
Last Updated: June 28, 2026
Historical Data
About Presidential Election Cycle
The Presidential Election Cycle theory observes that US stock markets tend to follow patterns within the four-year presidential term. Historically, the third year of a presidency has produced the strongest returns. While past patterns do not guarantee future results, they provide useful context for long-term investors.