Inflation Rate (CPI) vs Sahm Rule Indicator

Inflation Rate (CPI)

Consumer Price Index YoY change

4.3%
+8.10%
High Inflation
334 330 327 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

0.10%
-23.08%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.20 0.10 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26

Indicator Comparison

Inflation Rate (CPI) Sahm Rule Indicator
Current 4.3% 0.10%
Change +8.10% -23.08%
Status High Inflation No Recession Signal
Data Source FRED CPIAUCSL FRED SAHMREALTIME
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated May 1, 2026 May 1, 2026