Inflation Rate (CPI) vs Sahm Rule Indicator

Inflation Rate (CPI)

Consumer Price Index YoY change

3.5%
-10.38%
Above Target
334 330 327 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26

Sahm Rule Indicator

Real-time recession indicator

-0.03%
-123.08%
No Recession Signal
0.30 0.14 -0.03 Feb'26 Mar'26 Apr'26 May'26 Jun'26

Indicator Comparison

Inflation Rate (CPI) Sahm Rule Indicator
Current 3.5% -0.03%
Change -10.38% -123.08%
Status Above Target No Recession Signal
Data Source FRED CPIAUCSL FRED SAHMREALTIME
Update Frequency Monthly Monthly
Last Updated July 1, 2026 July 1, 2026